Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 2.323386 2.465165 2.614749 2.784948 2.974007 3.178471 3.417534
2026-01-11 2.102525 2.298891 2.516766 2.778738 3.088350 3.446745 3.899282
2026-01-18 1.996210 2.227625 2.493474 2.826012 3.237582 3.739874 4.415366
2026-01-25 2.067317 2.359699 2.708985 3.166399 3.764870 4.545470 5.686748
2026-02-01 1.914386 2.207619 2.564261 3.041485 3.682894 4.547862 5.869241
2026-02-08 1.776124 2.063697 2.418141 2.900184 3.561543 4.476962 5.925656
2026-02-15 1.699617 1.991884 2.357660 2.864589 3.577210 4.595057 6.277902
2026-02-22 1.620387 1.911862 2.281059 2.800476 3.545152 4.636714 6.509753
2026-03-01 1.539783 1.826077 2.192052 2.712932 3.471244 4.605867 6.612406
2026-03-08 1.456726 1.733689 2.089991 2.601217 3.353553 4.495835 6.560627
2026-03-15 1.421476 1.702435 2.068017 2.600267 3.399138 4.645423 6.993580
2026-03-22 1.377751 1.658066 2.026023 2.567845 3.393803 4.710634 7.277739
2026-03-29 1.313467 1.588385 1.952456 2.494765 3.334730 4.704531 7.473851
2026-04-05 1.275021 1.552564 1.924777 2.488509 3.382241 4.889765 8.113293
2026-04-12 1.254796 1.540114 1.928386 2.528020 3.505491 5.223872 9.171799
2026-04-19 1.307664 1.630489 2.082856 2.809931 4.066745 6.487241 13.093545
2026-04-26 1.247445 1.559064 1.997654 2.706902 3.944201 6.362635 13.164164
2026-05-03 1.187037 1.485484 1.906553 2.589763 3.787723 6.148721 12.902801
2026-05-10 1.153976 1.449877 1.870494 2.560154 3.788849 6.274721 13.790489
2026-05-17 1.116659 1.406902 1.821648 2.506718 3.741155 6.286386 14.306271
2026-05-24 1.076248 1.358297 1.762628 2.433533 3.650956 6.190993 14.408958
2026-05-31 1.032433 1.303694 1.692953 2.339770 3.516081 5.979572 14.017789
2026-06-07 1.014515 1.286216 1.679078 2.338970 3.559462 6.190453 15.370928